Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 9.914971 11.648204 13.554115 15.799842 18.367724 21.206291 24.575405
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 7.546580 9.852766 12.624194 16.176767 20.583956 25.844017 32.566611
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 5.886549 8.422639 11.711260 16.235707 22.237742 29.858412 40.186304
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 4.736585 7.351326 10.976044 16.276489 23.719089 33.669282 47.820811
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.726299 6.243086 9.955716 15.696774 24.182324 36.060203 53.685716
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.110254 5.582520 9.437222 15.698114 25.372919 39.459163 61.127493
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.624151 5.025940 8.969587 15.671744 26.456702 42.726348 68.570710
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.396916 4.856339 9.078130 16.534396 28.948479 48.237144 79.701609
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.173894 4.650017 9.085120 17.208839 31.173350 53.475773 90.760276
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.997064 4.495762 9.152827 17.975900 33.594072 59.170132 102.888054
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.741164 4.138996 8.799908 17.947933 34.642104 62.695103 111.750966
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.447397 3.647947 8.121316 17.234831 34.404226 64.039149 117.092253
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.205993 3.228279 7.531603 16.635338 34.342022 65.728672 123.235258
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.067236 3.014505 7.329118 16.762874 35.626395 69.839431 133.781722
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.933736 2.785714 7.060187 16.719936 36.573555 73.406308 143.599048
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.822080 2.587793 6.828283 16.721253 37.595926 77.164847 153.974229
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.687525 2.298482 6.342002 16.112212 37.328867 78.496199 160.014694
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.607327 2.140995 6.141980 16.107584 38.289570 82.196745 170.623221
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.536311 1.993488 5.942998 16.078265 39.187637 85.823283 181.289965
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.515641 1.995570 6.124347 16.959608 42.112867 93.606918 200.299084
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.487384 1.967408 6.222154 17.648908 44.668666 100.800777 218.540639
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.464621 1.952550 6.353476 18.433048 47.494508 108.700601 238.560648
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.414077 1.830133 6.169358 18.404393 48.471646 112.865549 251.407571